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Swanson Investment Research
Cardlytics $CDLX: PacWest Deposits and LOC, Bridg Dispute, Resignation of CFO (Research Notes #145 - #149)
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Cardlytics $CDLX: PacWest Deposits and LOC, Bridg Dispute, Resignation of CFO (Research Notes #145 - #149)

New notes on PacWest deposits and LOC, the Bridg dispute, and the resignation of the CFO.

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Austin Swanson
Mar 24, 2023
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Swanson Investment Research
Swanson Investment Research
Cardlytics $CDLX: PacWest Deposits and LOC, Bridg Dispute, Resignation of CFO (Research Notes #145 - #149)
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Market Cap as of 3.24.2023: ~$2.81 / Share x 33.6M Shares ~ $94M Market Cap.

The following analysis and thoughts are separate from those included under “Why I Bought More” (which continued updated liquidity analysis, future share count, future value per diluted share, and more). Therefore this post could have been called, “What Led Me to Buy Even More”.

While I prefer to wait longer between update emails for the notes, I want to make sure I deliver timely information to all of you with access to the Research Notes, especially given the all-time-low stock price.

The CDLX Research Notes Updates

At this time, all of the following notes are under

  • “General Company Risks”

  • "Q4 2022 Earnings: Notes and Thoughts After the Call”

  • “Resignation of Andy Christiansen, CFO”

For convenience, I copied over the corresponding sections of the Research Notes and pasted them at the end of this post.

Note, I do tweet out when I make an update to the Research Notes. Therefore, if you want more real-time updates, follow me on Twitter.

The order below matches how I copied them to the end of this post to read.

CDLX Research Notes: Update #149

Added on 3.23.2023

  • Added to "General Company Risks"

    • PacWest Deposits and Line of Credit

    • (and recent actions by CDLX)

CDLX Research Notes: Update #147

Added on 3.23.2023

  • Updated Bridg Dispute Thoughts

    • Offsetting factors

    • Change in my probability with dispute outcome

    • MNPI and insider buying

CDLX Research Notes: Update #145, #146, #148

Added on 3.22.2023 and 3.23.2023

  • "Resignation of Andy Christiansen, CFO"

    • Added my first thoughts (#145)

    • Updated and additional thoughts (#146)

    • New thought on timing, related to the earnouts (#148)

Gain Access to Research Notes

In addition to gaining access to the notes above, upgrading your subscription will give you access to all Research Notes.

Research Notes contain information I have collected while researching, investigating, analyzing, and thinking through businesses, such as CDLX.

This is where I continue to add additional notes, observations, and thoughts.

Some of the notes have never been made, nor will be made, into official posts that are public to read.

Join others and upgrade below to get access now:

Cardlytics ($CDLX) Research Notes:

Cardlytics CDLX Quantitative Qualitative Research Notes Swany407 Research Notes Austin Swanson, Competitive Advantages, Dosh, Bridg, product-level offers, new ad server, attribution, conference, presentation, partners, affirm, apple pay, google pay, POS Systems, API, insights, google, facebook, visa, mastercard, concentration, advertisers, risks, BofA renewal, self-service, short thesis, differentiation, execution risk, engagement, insider selling, glassdoor reviews, purchase data, twitter, additional resources, earnings, market price, sentiment, valuation, intrinsic value, measurement, incrementality, multi-touch attribution, marketing mix modeling, total marketing modeling, iOS14.5, IDFA, growth, massive scale, loyalty programs, 100 bagger, charlie munger, LTV/CAC, ROAS, total addressable market, TAM, $CDLX
  • Cardlytics ($CDLX): Qualitative Research Notes #1

  • Cardlytics ($CDLX): Qualitative Research Notes #2

  • Cardlytics ($CDLX): Quantitative Research Notes #1

  • Cardlytics ($CDLX): Quantitative Research Notes #2

Carvana ($CVNA) Research Notes:

Carvana CVNA Qualitative Research Notes Swany407 Research Notes Analysis Austin Swanson, 2018 Analyst Day, Competition, CarMax, Vroom, Shift, AutoNation, GM, Local, Dealers, and more, Disadvantages, selection, delivery, inspection and reconditioning, IRCs, Financing, Vehicle Service Contracts, VSC, Extended Warranties, GAP, Fees, Commission, Site Visits, Footprint, capacity, size, processes, root, insurance, hertz, new cars, drivetime, silverrock, blueshore, short thesis, Twitter, resources, Valuation, Market Penetration, Total Addressable Market, SG&A, Valuation, Intrinsic Value, Advertising, Securitizations, Operating Leverage, Retail Margin, Gross profit per unit, GPU, $CVNA, Austin Swanson, Carvana CVNA Quantitative Research Notes Swany407 Research Notes Analysis Austin Swanson, 2018 Analyst Day, Competition, CarMax, Vroom, Shift, AutoNation, GM, Local, Dealers, and more, Disadvantages, selection, delivery, inspection and reconditioning, IRCs, Financing, Vehicle Service Contracts, VSC, Extended Warranties, GAP, Fees, Commission, Site Visits, Footprint, capacity, size, processes, root, insurance, hertz, new cars, drivetime, silverrock, blueshore, short thesis, Twitter, resources, Valuation, Market Penetration, Total Addressable Market, SG&A, Valuation, Intrinsic Value, Advertising, Securitizations, Operating Leverage, Retail Margin, Gross profit per unit, GPU, $CVNA, Austin Swanson
  • Carvana ($CVNA): Qualitative Research Notes

  • Carvana ($CVNA): Quantitative Research Notes

General Research Notes on Businesses, Investments, and CEOs (Historical to Current):

  • General Research Notes

Reviews on the Research Notes

@MoneyMetroid

Gain Access

If would like access all these “Research Notes”, upgrade your subscription here:

For convenience, I copied over the corresponding sections of the Research Notes and pasted them directly below.


The Updates:

(#149) 3.23.2023: PacWest Deposits and Line of Credit (and recent actions by CDLX)

I have already discussed this topic in the Research Notes following the press release of CDLX drawing down on their LOC and diversifying deposits, but given this keeps being discussed by others, and CDLX seems to keep trading in step with PacWest, I wanted to add some additional details and thoughts.

It is possible CDLX has been trading somewhat in sync with PacWest given the fear with the banking system including regionals like PacWest, where CDLX’s line of credit (LOC) and some deposits are located.

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